Legal-Chronicle
0xcdfe1e23d205266d99347b30e4b4d9b1b44efd89
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$433.42
Total PnL
$-26.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
741 shares @ 61.2¢·now 56.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$420.52
$-32.97
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
30 shares @ 64.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.90
$-6.30
- PELICANS
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
23608 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-11.8K
- UNDER
Panthers vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5
20804 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.4K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12PM ET
4043 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UNDER
Sharks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5
3122 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4PM ET
1600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-800.00
- NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)
145 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-74.13
- OVER
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 139.5
124 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-63.47
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?
90 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-60.37
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.