Reliable-Posterior
0xce000ebd0b5718b4adeb96355bb39bf913f3d1a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$-38.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 50% by March 31?
10 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.00
$0.11
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 29?
12502 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 28?
3100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 28?
1902 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.71
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- NO
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- NO
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the March meeting?
85 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$12.00Mar 31, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$13.00Mar 31, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 28?$9.9KMar 31, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 29?$4.40Mar 28, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 28?$3.10Mar 28, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 28?$5.71Mar 28, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 28?$9.9KMar 28, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 29?$12.84Mar 28, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 29?$7.76Mar 28, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.65Mar 17, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 50% by March 31?$9.89Mar 12, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the March meeting?$2.55Mar 2, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$11.99Feb 25, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$12.91Feb 12, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 200 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$11.00Feb 5, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple reach $360 in January?$15.03Feb 5, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.97Jan 30, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 200 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$10.98Jan 22, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple reach $360 in January?$15.00Jan 8, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$30.00Jan 8, 07:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $669.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 03:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 02:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.