Usable-Initialise
0xce01b0fa8b909f0f9e491827f15eecd553640308
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$48.82
Total PnL
$0.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on June 2?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$8.51
$0.01
- NO
Will Baidu have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.76
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 3?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will "Mortal Kombat II" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.61
$0.01
- NO
Will Ed Sheeran have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
3 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.37
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C or below on June 3?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Z.ai have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.72
$0.01
- YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 2?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.50
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 3?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$2.18
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on June 3?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.75
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$47.99Jul 13, 04:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
5 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $10.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 18:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 04:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.