Needy-Academics
0xce071d8aa5c90f92965e08df65175d147caf5c3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
182
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$146.02
Win rate
64%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 182- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on May 2?
1336 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 15?
1119 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 28?
1004 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on March 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 30?
674 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on April 26?
598 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on May 27?
581 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 21?
507 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 14?
285 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 16?
279 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-27.69
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$3.88Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 30?$2.70Jun 30, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 30?$0.76Jun 30, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 30?$0.39Jun 30, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 30?$14.18Jun 30, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 30?$7.21Jun 30, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 30?$10.29Jun 30, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 30?$20.07Jun 30, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 30?$5.68Jun 30, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 30?$5.99Jun 30, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 30?$27.21Jun 30, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 30?$10.60Jun 30, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 30?$0.39Jun 30, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 30?$4.31Jun 30, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 30?$53.85Jun 30, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 30?$15.84Jun 30, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 30?$18.17Jun 30, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 30?$38.36Jun 30, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?$0.11Jun 30, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?$3.15Jun 30, 14:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
76/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
36 closed markets, 64% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $18.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 19:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.