Distant-Familiarity
0xce08385c4028eed9e6f661b61e5c9732803b536b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
62
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-875.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 3PM ET
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
6243 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-24.97
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 5?
5000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 5?
3384 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12PM ET
3372 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-54.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 5?
3128 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 11?
2920 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 4?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$9.00Apr 27, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$1.00Apr 27, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$5.00Apr 27, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$4.28Apr 27, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$10.67Apr 27, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$4.00Apr 27, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$5.00Apr 27, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Apr 27, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$5.00Apr 27, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$6.28Apr 27, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$4.00Apr 27, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$7.08Apr 27, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$5.00Apr 27, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$5.00Apr 27, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$0.00Apr 27, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$5.00Apr 27, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$5.00Apr 27, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$7.39Apr 27, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$8.36Apr 27, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$5.00Apr 27, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $13.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 06:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".