Oily-Cria
0xce0d54e63a0c447238c2a8e912b9caef34c625f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-64.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 1?
11 shares @ 94.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 20?$10.04Jul 20, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 20?$30.29Jul 20, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 20?$10.02Jul 20, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 20?$30.12Jul 20, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 17?$10.20Jul 17, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 17?$30.27Jul 17, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 17?$10.16Jul 17, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 17?$30.21Jul 17, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 16?$11.01Jul 16, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 16?$30.25Jul 16, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 16?$11.00Jul 16, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 16?$30.22Jul 16, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 15?$30.47Jul 15, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 15?$10.43Jul 15, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 15?$10.22Jul 15, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 15?$30.41Jul 15, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 14?$10.30Jul 14, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 14?$30.36Jul 14, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 14?$10.22Jul 14, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 14?$30.22Jul 14, 04:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $20.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 16:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 16:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.