Harmless-Testimonial
0xce15afa1c7ce7e3a30c9abfc3d3a0e244d563daa
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$6.77
Total PnL
$-9.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
3 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.94
$0.94
- NO
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.50
$0.50
- NO
Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Erling Haaland sign with a new club during the transfer window?
18 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Spain snap election called in 2025?
7 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon register the America Party in July?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.01May 12, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$2.02May 12, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$2.03Apr 30, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill edgeX launch a token in 2025?$2.02Apr 30, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill edgeX launch a token in 2025?$1.80Dec 17, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill edgeX launch a token in 2025?$0.75Dec 17, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill edgeX launch a token in 2025?$5.00Dec 15, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthony Elanga sign with a new club during the transfer window? $2.30Dec 15, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luis Diaz sign with a new club during the transfer window? $3.15Dec 15, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Elanga sign with a new club during the transfer window? $2.30Jul 9, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$2.00Jul 7, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?$2.00Jul 7, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Diaz sign with a new club during the transfer window? $2.30Jul 7, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon register the America Party in July?$2.10Jul 7, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval >45% on July 1?$0.00Jul 7, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Yablunivka before July?$0.00Jul 7, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMTrump x Putin talk before July?$0.00Jul 7, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Inter Miami CF win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?$0.00Jul 7, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup?$0.00Jul 7, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMTrump x Zelenskyy talk before July?$4.55Jul 7, 21:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $2.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 11:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 10:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.