Nimble-Chrysalis
0xce16bd9caaca01c9b7b5856dd561220b00e34b44
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-139.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 10 2025?
2317 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
704 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
310 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?
233 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
185 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the fight end in a draw?
156 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?
112 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul win in Round 3?
95 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?$13.00Jan 30, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$10.00Jan 30, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$5.00Jan 26, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?$3.43Dec 22, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?$16.00Dec 22, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?$5.00Dec 21, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo airdrop in 2025?$1.00Dec 21, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?$4.87Dec 21, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $24.90Dec 20, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$24.56Dec 20, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the fight end in Round 6?$31.22Dec 20, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight end in Round 6?$2.00Dec 19, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win in Round 2?$1.00Dec 19, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win in Round 1?$1.00Dec 19, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win in Round 3?$2.00Dec 19, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?$3.00Dec 19, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight end in a draw?$3.00Dec 19, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $21.00Dec 19, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?$5.00Dec 19, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.00Dec 19, 22:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $8.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 06:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 22:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".