Those-Punch
0xce18690522295059238db8ec3255753c95f33c84
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$92.13
Total PnL
$1.09
Realised
$0.30
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
38 shares @ 10.6¢·now 26.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$10.10
$6.11
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
15 shares @ 34.1¢·now 52.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$8.07
$2.84
- YES
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in July?
50 shares @ 6.1¢·now 15.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$7.53
$4.47
- YES
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?
31 shares @ 18.5¢·now 18.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.74
$0.01
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
5 shares @ 35.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.91
$3.15
- YES
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?
51 shares @ 8.3¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.80
$-0.41
- YES
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?
10 shares @ 29.5¢·now 37.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.69
$0.78
- YES
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in July?
112 shares @ 3.2¢·now 2.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.31
$-0.26
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?
3 shares @ 96.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.98
$0.03
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?
90 shares @ 8.5¢·now 3.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.89
$-4.82
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?$1.03Jul 13, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in July?$0.70Jul 13, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$1.92Jul 13, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$1.36Jul 13, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?$1.49Jul 13, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$0.94Jul 13, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?$2.24Jul 13, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$1.08Jul 13, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$1.85Jul 13, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?$1.11Jul 13, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?$1.85Jul 13, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$2.11Jul 13, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$0.81Jul 13, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in July?$2.29Jul 13, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in July?$1.42Jul 13, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$1.47Jul 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?$0.94Jul 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?$0.14Jul 13, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?$2.20Jul 13, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of July 13 2026?$2.01Jul 13, 17:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 15:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 22:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.