Modern-Wrinkle
0xce1e4c3a0dbed64483be14e617fc818bfdb0ecb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$75.35
Total PnL
$-92.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
75 shares @ 92.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$75.35
$5.35
- YES
Will Bello Bouba Maïgari win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
770 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
551 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-11.81
- YES
Will Jaime Dunn win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Eugenio Giani win Tuscany Regional Election?
353 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
107 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-9.52
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
86 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?
84 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Romania Parliamentary Election called in 2025?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$70.00Nov 4, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samia Suluhu Hassan win the 2025 Tanzania presidential election?$1.00Oct 24, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?$1.35Oct 24, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$18.34Oct 22, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eugenio Giani win Tuscany Regional Election?$5.00Oct 8, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$1.72Sep 30, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$16.72Sep 26, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$10.00Sep 24, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?$8.52Sep 20, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bello Bouba Maïgari win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$0.14Sep 18, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bello Bouba Maïgari win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$1.34Sep 18, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$1.81Sep 17, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bello Bouba Maïgari win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$0.52Sep 17, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bello Bouba Maïgari win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$3.00Sep 17, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLRomanian politician Georgescu guilty in 2025?$10.33Sep 16, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bello Bouba Maïgari win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$5.00Sep 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$1.25Sep 12, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$6.25Sep 12, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?$10.00Sep 12, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$10.00Sep 9, 08:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $14.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 08:07 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 08:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".