Cheerful-Perennial
0xce2081f1be9a68c3703ae034dc451b93ad81e1bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$23.32
Total PnL
$-36.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
11 shares @ 88.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$11.29
$1.29
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 8?
5 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$5.14
$0.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$4.31
$3.32
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
119 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
59 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-22.52
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
36 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$5.00Feb 20, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.00Feb 20, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$2.33Feb 20, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.00Feb 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.00Feb 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.00Feb 19, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.00Feb 19, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$10.27Feb 19, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$5.00Feb 19, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.00Feb 19, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$1.00Feb 19, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$6.54Feb 19, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$5.00Feb 19, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$1.00Feb 19, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$0.70Feb 19, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$1.00Feb 19, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$10.00Feb 19, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$5.00Feb 19, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$5.00Feb 19, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$2.00Jan 30, 09:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 10:33 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 00:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".