Lively-Deck
0xce266cdafb93235e07788b1255d3d3354c925578
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$117.32
Total PnL
$-220.46
Realised
$11.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?
129 shares @ 81.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.32
$12.83
- YES
Trove FDV above $100M one day after launch?
1871 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
888 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.50
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
641 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?
219 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-18.52
- PSG TALON
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)
96 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-17.74
- YES
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-30?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage
64 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.75
- LGD GAMING
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
63 shares @ 47.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-22?
63 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?$83.34Mar 21, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYDan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?$21.15Mar 15, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$10.35Feb 25, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$2.33Feb 25, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.11Feb 25, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 24, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$29.50Feb 24, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$20.00Feb 24, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$20.00Feb 24, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$10.00Feb 24, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLDiscord IPO before 2027?$49.40Feb 8, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$10.00Feb 2, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$20.00Feb 2, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$15.00Feb 1, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage$129.87Jan 31, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage$100.00Jan 30, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$64.40Jan 30, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMSet 1 Winner: Djokovic vs Sinner$40.00Jan 30, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage$1.00Jan 30, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage$2.50Jan 30, 10:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $21.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 15:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".