Political-Taro
0xce292fe4451c27edd9a3423ae625a9ebadc5aabf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-245.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
291 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.22
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 30?
286 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.32
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 31?
283 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.31
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on December 27?
281 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.22
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 26?
279 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.29
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on December 23?
279 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.74
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 21?
279 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-4.46
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on December 10?
278 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.29
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 25?
277 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.92
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on December 18?
277 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.94
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 21?$0.00Apr 28, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 18?$2.75Apr 18, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,200 December 22-28?$0.00Apr 18, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 22?$0.00Apr 10, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin ETF Flows on March 31?$48.26Mar 31, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,200 December 15-21?$0.00Mar 31, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 31?$0.00Mar 29, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 28?$1.53Mar 27, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,300 on March 25?$1.13Mar 26, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 24?$43.35Mar 25, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 24?$40.79Mar 24, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?$72.24Jan 29, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMMississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars$71.43Jan 29, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 29?$1.65Jan 28, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars$68.93Jan 28, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 28?$3.16Jan 28, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 27?$73.22Jan 28, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 27?$0.25Jan 27, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 27?$70.99Jan 27, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $130 on January 27?$1.73Jan 27, 13:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $27.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 09:47 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 03:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".