0xce2a48a766c63c1f9e698cd2453aef4aa123832f
0xce2a48a766c63c1f9e698cd2453aef4aa123832f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- MARINERS
DET Tigers vs. SEA Mariners March 31
860 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-27.52
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on May 6?
580 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-290.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 25?
430 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2025$0.00
$-172.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Deficit" during Carney visit on May 6?
310 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-117.80
- SABALENKA
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Qinwen Zheng
225 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2025$0.00
$-168.75
- NO
Will Trump say "Africa" during Meloni visit on April 17?
195 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-132.60
- NO
Will a candidate say "COVID" during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?
145 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2025$0.00
$-49.30
- UP
Solana Up or Down on June 4?
45 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2025$0.00
$-22.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on May 27?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Italy" 10+ times during Meloni visit on April 17?
5 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8 PM ET$680.00Jun 12, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill a dozen eggs be between $4.50-4.75 in May?$635.00Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in May?$650.00Jun 11, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8 PM ET$202.50Jun 11, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8 PM ET$137.50Jun 11, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in May?$660.00Jun 11, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5 PM ET$1.0KJun 11, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs be between $4.50-4.75 in May?$43.55Jun 10, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs be between $4.50-4.75 in May?$39.00Jun 10, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5 PM ET$500.00Jun 10, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12 PM ET$5.00Jun 10, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1 PM ET$550.00Jun 9, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1 PM ET$550.00Jun 9, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in May?$577.50Jun 9, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12 PM ET$2.50Jun 9, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in May?$577.50Jun 9, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5 AM ET$580.00Jun 9, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5 AM ET$290.00Jun 6, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Germany" 7+ times during Merz events on June 5?$290.00Jun 6, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Germany" 7+ times during Merz events on June 5?$191.40Jun 4, 08:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $134.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 12:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 06:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".