Warped-Wheel
0xce2bf3ba7bb42786d4ccf020b283d85b914408fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-91.8K
Realised
$-2.5K
Win rate
5%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1300 shares @ 66.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$851.45
$-6.50
- YES
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1200 shares @ 58.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$750.00
$54.00
- YES
World Cup: Any Team to Score 10+ Goals in the Group Stage?
950 shares @ 73.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$707.75
$14.25
- YES
Will Jude Bellingham score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
713 shares @ 69.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$484.70
$-7.13
- UNDER
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
18000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
Will Danny Noppert win the PDC World Darts Championship?
8500 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-178.50
- YES
Will Josh Rock win the PDC World Darts Championship?
6500 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-175.50
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?
5500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-165.00
- YES
Will Michael van Gerwen win the PDC World Darts Championship?
5000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-250.99
- YES
Will Algeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
3500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-349.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$543.48Jun 13, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$447.76Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- REWARD$2.21Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$399.61Jun 12, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5$537.98Jun 12, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Canada (-1.5)$1.1KJun 12, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMCanada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 5.5 Corners$480.77Jun 12, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 4.5 Corners$354.73Jun 12, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$302.97Jun 12, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$254.05Jun 12, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5$466.21Jun 12, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5$855.35Jun 12, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 5.5 Corners$253.60Jun 12, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canada (-1.5)$856.63Jun 12, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$253.74Jun 12, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWorld Cup: Any Team to Score 10+ Goals in the Group Stage?$679.81Jun 12, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jude Bellingham score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$496.40Jun 12, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMKorea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5$812.50Jun 12, 04:27 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.57Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.95Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $235.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 11:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.