Those-Shame
0xce305d7fc93e0e1f2271e55b5f03e63748b63760
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$202.95
Realised
$446.28
Win rate
98%
60 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Trump say "Biden" during Women's History Month event?
2545 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- OVER
Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 1?
2505 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 26 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?
2051 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-03-07?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- SPARTA
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs Lazer Cats (+1.5)
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Bitcoin above 68,600 on March 30, 7PM ET?
1950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 7?
1935 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- ULSAN HD FC
Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-2.5)
1739 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.74
- NO
Will Solana dip to $85 on March 11?
1709 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAA Argentinos Juniors vs. AA Estudiantes: AA Estudiantes 1st Half O/U 1.5$0.11Jul 28, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYAA Argentinos Juniors vs. AA Estudiantes: AA Estudiantes 1st Half O/U 1.5$0.12Jul 28, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win the next Adygea Parliament elections?$0.04Jul 28, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Communists of Russia win the next Adygea Parliament elections?$0.06Jul 28, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People win the next Adygea Parliament elections?$0.22Jul 28, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People win the next Adygea Parliament elections?$0.16Jul 28, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People win the next Adygea Parliament elections?$0.14Jul 28, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Communists of Russia win the next Adygea Parliament elections?$0.29Jul 28, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Communists of Russia win the next Adygea Parliament elections?$0.20Jul 28, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People win the next Adygea Parliament elections?$0.03Jul 28, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Warsh say "Innovation" during July Press Conference?$0.56Jul 28, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Brute vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #6 Playoffs$0.15Jul 28, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Brute vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #6 Playoffs$0.03Jul 28, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Brute vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #6 Playoffs$0.16Jul 28, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Brute vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #6 Playoffs$0.33Jul 28, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joshua Van be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?$0.08Jul 28, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Innovation" during July Press Conference?$0.08Jul 28, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill London have less than 30mm of precipitation in July?$0.11Jul 28, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLFC Ballkani vs. Bohemian FC: O/U 0.5$0.15Jul 27, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLKA Akureyri vs. Thor Akureyri: Thor Akureyri O/U 1.5$0.01Jul 27, 20:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
98% win rate over 60 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 21/100.
60 closed markets, 98% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 09:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 17:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 60 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.