Serene-Bicycle
0xce308dccd60699b9b4fe3891823fee2dc1716b85
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
10100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
10000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
18 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
17 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-8.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-7.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Austria join NATO by December 31?$1.00Dec 15, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$1.09Dec 15, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.11Dec 15, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$1.10Dec 13, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$1.11Dec 6, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.10Dec 6, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$1.04Nov 28, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$1.10Nov 28, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.00Nov 20, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$1.01Nov 20, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$1.03Nov 20, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$1.00Nov 13, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.00Nov 10, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria join NATO by December 31?$1.00Oct 30, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$13.2KOct 18, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$6.6KOct 18, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$9.9KOct 18, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$5.0KOct 18, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$5.0KOct 18, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$10.0KOct 18, 03:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 11:10 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 05:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".