Ragged-Insurance
0xce38bfbcc59de23bb4e7ff63c0d757719548a0da
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-805.20
Realised
$151.76
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 17?
1400 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-262.96
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 again by March 31?
1043 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
769 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during Kennedy Center event today?
574 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Next Mayor" during his victory/concession speech?
348 shares @ 71.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during Kennedy Center event today?
268 shares @ 37.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Halal" during his victory/concession speech?
222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Anti-semitic" during his victory/concession speech?
219 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Art" 5+ times during Kennedy Center event today?
206 shares @ 48.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
179 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 17?$2.00Nov 17, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 17?$2.00Nov 17, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on November 17?$238.79Nov 17, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 17?$100.00Nov 17, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 17?$46.00Nov 17, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 17?$100.00Nov 17, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 17?$100.00Nov 17, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani say "Subway" during his victory/concession speech?$45.00Nov 5, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani say "Next Mayor" during his victory/concession speech?$101.87Nov 5, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani say "Next Mayor" during his victory/concession speech?$40.00Nov 5, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani say "Next Mayor" during his victory/concession speech?$250.00Nov 5, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani say "Subway" during his victory/concession speech?$8.00Nov 5, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani say "Subway" during his victory/concession speech?$9.75Nov 5, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani say "Subway" during his victory/concession speech?$87.60Nov 5, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani say "New York" or "New Yorker" 10+ times during his victory/concession speech?$20.00Nov 4, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani say "Halal" during his victory/concession speech?$20.00Nov 4, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani say "Fascism" or "Fascist" during his victory/concession speech?$40.00Nov 4, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani say "Anti-semitic" during his victory/concession speech?$35.00Nov 4, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$50.00Oct 28, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI browser by October 31?$4.5KOct 21, 20:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $179.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 17:10 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 17, 17:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".