Key-Hero
0xce3bfccf006d2941b7e857b65ea99895b1b63b95
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.44
Total PnL
$-16.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
1 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.44
$0.06
- YES
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?
15 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Brighton win on 2024-11-09?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2024$0.00
$-10.17
- YES
Will the match between Italy and France end in a draw?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$1.38Feb 22, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?$3.00Feb 22, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match between Italy and France end in a draw?$3.00Nov 16, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton win on 2024-11-09?$10.17Nov 9, 14:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $4.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 14:51 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 14:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.