Oval-Discrimination
0xce3f09899d1bd2294cc21d272718dbf73538a332
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$83.33
Total PnL
$-14.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 15 executive orders in May?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$83.33
$73.33
- YES
Will Omead Afshar be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?
473 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Oracle buy TikTok?
222 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-26.61
- YES
Elon no longer world's richest before July?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?
87 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Omead Afshar be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?$1.00May 12, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Omead Afshar be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?$10.00May 12, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Omead Afshar be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?$10.00May 12, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMusk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?$10.00May 12, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon no longer world's richest before July?$10.00May 12, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103000 on May 9?$0.00May 10, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?$46.30May 10, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103000 on May 9?$15.22May 8, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 7?$0.00May 8, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 6?$0.00May 8, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 4?$0.00May 8, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 7?$0.00May 8, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 6?$5.11May 8, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 4?$10.11May 8, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get more than 120m views in first 24 hours?$0.00May 8, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI acquire Windsurf before August?$0.00May 8, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 6?$4.99May 7, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump issue fewer than 15 executive orders in May?$10.00May 7, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 4?$10.00May 7, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get more than 120m views in first 24 hours?$25.00May 7, 14:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $13.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 14:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 08:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".