0xce41a80cfb76bb72af1197ce217339093ee72aed
0xce41a80cfb76bb72af1197ce217339093ee72aed
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$20.00
Total PnL
$-59.79
Realised
$-17.79
Win rate
18%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
20 shares @ 32.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$20.00
$13.42
- YES
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?$0.00Feb 11, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?$0.00Feb 11, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 10?$0.00Feb 11, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?$0.00Feb 11, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$0.00Feb 11, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$0.00Feb 11, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?$0.00Feb 11, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?$0.00Feb 11, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deportivo Táchira FC win on 2026-02-10?$0.00Feb 11, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-10?$0.00Feb 11, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-02-10?$0.00Feb 11, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?$0.00Feb 11, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$0.00Feb 11, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$0.00Feb 11, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?$0.00Feb 11, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$0.00Feb 11, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.41Feb 11, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. 76ers$2.25Feb 11, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLGrizzlies vs. Nuggets$1.05Feb 11, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?$2.20Feb 11, 13:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $2.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 13:18 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 14:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".