Submissive-Mix
0xce493f055af39aa630196d933a9a6e5ef359fbda
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$3.71
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$430.78
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 5.1¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6 shares @ 17.3¢·now 15.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
70000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
38291 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-498.97
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 15?
19181 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?
7026 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-115.31
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
4945 shares @ 46.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?
2293 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-31.71
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$160.12May 29, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$150.00May 27, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$149.28May 27, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$95.00May 25, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$3.03Apr 18, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$2.3KMar 7, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1.00Mar 7, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$2.4KMar 7, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.15Mar 7, 01:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 7, 00:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Mar 6, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$866.00Mar 5, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$823.56Mar 5, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1000.00Mar 5, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.0KMar 5, 20:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Mar 5, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$898.00Mar 4, 04:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Mar 4, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1000.00Mar 3, 16:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 3, 00:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $566.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 02:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 02:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".