Favorite-Shingle
0xce4e016c7a5318b2ae5527366e97cb198d9ad762
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$70.74
Total PnL
$-0.94
Realised
$-0.24
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in scoring?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$10.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists?
6 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$5.52
$0.02
- NO
Will Oh Se-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?
4 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$4.49
$0.09
- NO
Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair?
4 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$4.42
$0.02
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?
4 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$4.22
$0.02
- NO
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
4 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$3.62
$0.22
- NO
Will Susie Wiles be out as White House Chief of Staff in Trump's first 100 days?
4 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$3.61
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.33
$0.33
- NO
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair?
3 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$3.22
$0.02
- YES
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
3 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$3.13
$0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Oh Se-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?$4.40Apr 7, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?$1.20Apr 7, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?$2.00Apr 7, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?$2.30Apr 7, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karoline Leavitt be out as White House Press Secretary in Trump's first 100 days?$9.83Apr 7, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$18.58Apr 7, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$18.80Apr 7, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?$20.52Apr 7, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?$20.79Apr 7, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?$1.10Mar 31, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$1.00Mar 31, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair?$3.20Mar 31, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair?$4.40Mar 31, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool wins the Premier League?$3.00Mar 31, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal wins the Premier League?$2.50Mar 31, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$2.40Mar 30, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in scoring?$10.00Mar 30, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?$4.20Mar 30, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?$2.00Mar 30, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?$2.50Mar 30, 03:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $128.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 11:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 06:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".