Bold-Redhead
0xce561a8e10ab490339e53c230c9ba53886c9a0f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$0.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
1 shares @ 2.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$1.00
$0.98
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?
15 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $200 before 2026??
15 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $230 before 2026??
13 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?
12 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $250 before 2026??
11 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?
11 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
3 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?$0.01Feb 5, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?$0.01Feb 5, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?$0.01Feb 5, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) hit $250 before 2026??$0.01Dec 31, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) hit $200 before 2026??$0.01Dec 31, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) hit $230 before 2026??$0.01Dec 31, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?$0.01Oct 30, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jalen Hurts win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.01Oct 30, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.01Oct 30, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Steelers win the AFC Championship?$0.01Oct 30, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Texans win the AFC Championship?$0.01Oct 30, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal wins the Premier League?$0.01Oct 30, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYChelsea wins the Premier League?$0.01Oct 30, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$0.01Oct 30, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?$0.01Oct 30, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.01Oct 30, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$0.01Jun 10, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden wins the Popular Vote?$0.01Jun 10, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill May 2024 show an increase between 1.17°C-1.23°C$0.01Jun 10, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill May 2024 show an increase between 1.10°C-1.16°C$0.01Jun 10, 11:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $0.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 08:52 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 18:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.