Exciting-Worry
0xce569c35fb6529f7704c97e3b975c95114f923d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$41.09
Total PnL
$-73.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
64 shares @ 15.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$15.04
$5.44
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.06
$0.06
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 52.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.63
$0.53
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.90
$-0.10
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?
9 shares @ 59.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$4.47
$-0.80
- UNDER
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 202.5
50 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.44
- OVER
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5
28 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-25.60
- OVER
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
16 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.60
- LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
14 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.62
- LOS ANGELES ANGELS
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
14 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.26
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)$11.49Jun 13, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)$10.04Jun 13, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5$7.23Jun 13, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$9.60Jun 13, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?$5.27Jun 13, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$5.00Jun 12, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks: O/U 202.5$1.03Jun 11, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks: O/U 202.5$8.65Jun 11, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMSt. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets$7.94Jun 11, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets$5.06Jun 10, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5$8.72Jun 10, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$5.06Jun 9, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?$10.00Jun 9, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWashington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5$7.68Jun 9, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5$6.84Jun 9, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5$4.75Jun 9, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMWashington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5$14.14Jun 7, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5$9.29Jun 7, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)$6.21Jun 7, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers$17.47Jun 6, 20:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $8.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 21:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.