Half-Stitcher
0xce581b5059f217a9261e1c8ab07a0581fa2d5df1
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$75.53
Total PnL
$-19.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
71 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$71.21
$0.21
- YES
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
4 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$4.31
$1.68
- NO
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
154 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin close above $125K on July 31?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US Government sell Bitcoin by December 31?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on January 31?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by January 15?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.31
- NO
Will Fulham vs. Ipswich end in a draw?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.31Dec 4, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$71.00Dec 4, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by October 31?$3.85Dec 4, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?$3.00Oct 7, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US Government sell Bitcoin by December 31?$1.00Oct 7, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by October 31?$3.00Oct 7, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?$3.57Oct 7, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?$5.95Oct 7, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?$7.46Oct 7, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by January 31, 2025?$11.11Oct 7, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$20.41Oct 7, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMManchester City wins the Premier League?$27.96Oct 7, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$2.63Jul 29, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin close above $125K on July 31?$1.00Jul 29, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?$3.00Jul 29, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?$4.00Jan 5, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham vs. Ipswich end in a draw?$4.00Jan 5, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k again by January 15?$2.00Jan 5, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?$5.00Jan 5, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?$5.00Jan 5, 15:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $16.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 19:43 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 4, 19:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".