Other-Question
0xce615f5299e8dfb44beb73696ff0956b5630242b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-71.82
Realised
$0.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12AM ET
208 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
138 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
130 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10AM ET
124 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12AM ET
117 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
95 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on October 31?
93 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10AM ET
92 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$5.56May 27, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 6, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 6, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?$0.03Jan 12, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.79Jan 7, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$3.18Jan 7, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 all time high by December 31?$1.96Jan 2, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $720 end of December?$1.00Dec 6, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Pistons$1.00Nov 28, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?$2.00Nov 27, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$1.00Nov 27, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMFlames vs. Lightning$1.56Nov 27, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Nov 25, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $1.00Nov 25, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$1.00Nov 25, 05:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $0.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 07:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 04:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".