Ordinary-Student
0xce6da8f22ee4b09f2407dfc0c89df5d348b01ca3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-843.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?
2348 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump shake hands with Mette Frederiksen at the World Economic Forum?
1179 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
739 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-99.66
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
585 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
379 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-72.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
357 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
169 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
130 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$72.00Mar 4, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$72.73Mar 4, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$16.00Feb 19, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$15.91Feb 17, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$59.00Feb 17, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$50.00Feb 14, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$10.00Feb 13, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$91.16Feb 13, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$50.00Feb 11, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$50.00Feb 11, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$50.00Feb 11, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$75.93Feb 11, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$50.00Feb 11, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$50.00Feb 11, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$107.02Feb 11, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$50.00Feb 11, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$0.00Feb 11, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$100.00Feb 11, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$198.24Feb 11, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$50.00Feb 11, 09:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $47.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 09:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 14:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".