Instructive-Guy
0xce6fa2e96ef0a795d681d8adbf2a9db10e2a5eeb
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$19.67
Total PnL
$-152.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
37 shares @ 68.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$19.67
$-5.33
- YES
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
527 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
70 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?
47 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 11–18?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 3?
32 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$5.00Jan 30, 00:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the DC Crime Press Conference?$0.00Jan 30, 00:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the DC Crime Press Conference?$0.00Jan 30, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$10.00Jan 28, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$13.70Jan 28, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?$23.95Jan 28, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Celtics$5.00Jan 9, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Dons vs. Loyola Marymount Lions$5.00Jan 9, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$0.00Jan 7, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?$5.00Jan 4, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$10.00Jan 4, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?$15.00Jan 4, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$25.00Jan 4, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$5.00Jan 4, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?$15.25Jan 4, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$61.85Jan 4, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$8.04Dec 15, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?$5.00Dec 10, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies UFO files before 2027?$5.00Dec 10, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$5.00Nov 25, 12:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $7.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 00:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 00:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".