Stormy-Tofu
0xce79507acc8d63a89e404163956c45618d1828bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
167
Open notional
$2.30
Total PnL
$-267.50
Realised
$2.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 167- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 11.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
2245 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-63.00
- YES
Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Erik Seidel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jason Koon win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$2.14May 8, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.00Apr 29, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?$1.04Apr 29, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$2.52Apr 29, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.66Apr 3, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$1.00Feb 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$1.00Feb 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$0.55Feb 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?$1.44Feb 17, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$5.00Feb 17, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$1.85Feb 14, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.99Feb 14, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.51Feb 14, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?$2.97Feb 10, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.93Feb 10, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?$2.03Feb 10, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?$6.93Feb 9, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?$7.04Feb 9, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?$5.21Feb 9, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?$0.29Feb 9, 22:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 10:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 17:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".