0xce7a1d63445685805a0f8a1d257b4760aa3caddf
0xce7a1d63445685805a0f8a1d257b4760aa3caddf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- SONEGO
ATP Washington D.C: Arnaldi vs. Sonego
1000 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-540.00
- YUNCHAOKETE
ATP Washington D.C: De Minaur vs. Yunchaokete
1000 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-140.00
- NO
Will Trump say "President Xi" during his AI speech on July 23?
1000 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-280.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - July 17, 2PM ET
995 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-497.50
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" during his AI speech on July 23?
895 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-179.00
- LUCKNOW
Delhi Capitals vs Lucknow Super Giants
100 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2025$0.00
$-93.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on March 25?
10 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2900 and $3000 on July 12 at 5PM ET?
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on March 25?
5 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Travis Scott's album 'JACKBOYS 2' have over 250k sales in its first week?$40.00Jul 26, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Big beautiful bill" during his AI speech on July 23?$995.00Jul 24, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMATP Washington D.C: Svajda vs. Lehecka$720.00Jul 24, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMATP Washington D.C: Tien vs. Rublev$995.00Jul 24, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" during his AI speech on July 23?$179.00Jul 23, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYATP Washington D.C: Arnaldi vs. Sonego$113.40Jul 23, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYATP Washington D.C: Arnaldi vs. Sonego$426.60Jul 23, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Big beautiful bill" during his AI speech on July 23?$656.60Jul 23, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Big beautiful bill" during his AI speech on July 23?$3.35Jul 23, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Big beautiful bill" during his AI speech on July 23?$6.70Jul 23, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYATP Washington D.C: Svajda vs. Lehecka$511.20Jul 23, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "President Xi" during his AI speech on July 23?$36.40Jul 23, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "President Xi" during his AI speech on July 23?$243.60Jul 23, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYATP Washington D.C: Tien vs. Rublev$328.35Jul 23, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYATP Washington D.C: De Minaur vs. Yunchaokete$81.20Jul 23, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYATP Washington D.C: De Minaur vs. Yunchaokete$58.80Jul 23, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4PM ET$290.00Jul 22, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2PM ET$1.3KJul 22, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 21, 1PM ET$1.1KJul 22, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $120K on July 21?$1.0KJul 22, 06:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $212.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 11:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 03:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.