Frightening-Liquor
0xce923cd21275343f9a31dcead6e15217e4a63dfb
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$37.01
Total PnL
$-25.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
13 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$13.30
$0.80
- NO
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
12 shares @ 92.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.94
$0.94
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
12 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$11.77
$0.67
- YES
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?
7000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 15-18
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
6 shares @ 56.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$3.50Nov 3, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$11.10Nov 3, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?$17.01Nov 3, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$11.00Oct 27, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 15-18$10.00Oct 18, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?$0.11Oct 15, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?$5.89Oct 15, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?$1.32Oct 15, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?$6.68Oct 15, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$12.50Oct 15, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?$13.10Oct 15, 14:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $7.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 14:31 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 3, 17:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.