Warlike-Statistic
0xcea087df242f77ce707477940f06eb68fb8a0929
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$77.97
Total PnL
$-25.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
13287 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$73.08
$-5.10
- NO
Will Trump say "Jerome" or "Powell" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$4.89
$-0.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
30 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Jerome" or "Powell" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$5.15May 20, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$67.21May 20, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.98May 20, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.76May 20, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.20May 20, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.08May 20, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.08May 20, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$15.37Mar 17, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$5.00Mar 17, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$20.24Mar 17, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$22.88Mar 17, 10:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $13.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 10:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 19:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".