Careless-Observatory
0xceaa79ce8aaf34eb60c4f580dffeefdad8b95e29
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-570.26
Realised
$0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
1380 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-75.41
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
547 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-99.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
420 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-154.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January?
109 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
96 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
70 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
58 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-11.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$5.23May 11, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$21.22May 10, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$0.00May 10, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$5.34May 10, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$180.08May 10, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$97.62May 10, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$0.00May 10, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$132.28May 10, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$183.19May 10, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$115.74May 10, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$792.75May 10, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$312.93May 10, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$5.21May 10, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$340.91May 10, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$302.52May 10, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$0.00May 10, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$536.02May 10, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$309.25May 10, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$161.72May 10, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$103.50May 10, 02:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $81.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 23:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 10:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".