Ill-Informed-Trolley
0xceabafdca846e7a31a00a55c089e3d3c0d14dce7
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$5.8K
Total PnL
$217.81
Realised
$51.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?
600 shares @ 80.3¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$488.94
$6.94
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?
550 shares @ 64.6¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$462.00
$106.50
- NO
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
569 shares @ 74.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$449.69
$28.46
- YES
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
466 shares @ 50.5¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$300.25
$64.98
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?
334 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$291.87
$5.00
- NO
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
421 shares @ 70.4¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$283.85
$-12.37
- NO
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
400 shares @ 65.5¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$282.00
$20.00
- NO
Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 78.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$246.00
$12.00
- NO
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
389 shares @ 54.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$223.51
$13.49
- NO
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
442 shares @ 43.3¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$205.44
$14.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score$41.53Jun 13, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$148.00Jun 13, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.24Jun 13, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.85Jun 13, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$140.96Jun 13, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.51Jun 13, 02:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.19Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$8.12Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco?$14.42Jun 12, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco?$10.14Jun 12, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29.40Jun 12, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco?$33.46Jun 12, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco?$29.58Jun 12, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco?$4.89Jun 12, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco?$64.92Jun 12, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?$53.44Jun 12, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$50.67Jun 12, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$3.22Jun 12, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$34.22Jun 12, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$1.00Jun 12, 16:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $30.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 03:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.