Valid-Flair
0xceabcd7862ae4ed6223f10b401a0b66273fa96a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-115.31
Realised
$0.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?
675 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-91.19
- YES
Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
20 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.65
- YES
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21?
13 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 14-21?
8 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?$4.65Jul 9, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel conflict ends before July?$4.65Jul 9, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel conflict ends before July?$2.09Jul 2, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$2.09Jul 1, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel conflict ends before July?$1.93Jun 30, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$0.30Jun 30, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$1.63Jun 30, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$2.03Jun 28, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$1.00Jun 28, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?$3.00Jun 28, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$1.00Jun 28, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$7.03Jun 27, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$8.27Jun 27, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$8.27Jun 24, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$5.15Jun 22, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$5.15Jun 22, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$5.28Jun 22, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy before July?$5.27Jun 22, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$30.21Jun 22, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy before July?$20.00Jun 22, 00:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $26.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 16:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 14:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".