Acrobatic-Tragedy
0xceabed05698d17c6f31f089c4b8ec7c99aeb1799
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$8.02
Total PnL
$-20.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
70 shares @ 12.7¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.02
$-0.88
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
10993 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
7515 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.8K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
3565 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
3564 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
3500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
3500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
3159 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
200 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-106.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.89Apr 1, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$2.03Apr 1, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?$3.03Apr 1, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$2.00Feb 7, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?$3.00Feb 7, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Feb 7, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?$1.02Feb 7, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.04Feb 7, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.09Feb 7, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 16, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 8, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?$1.00Dec 8, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.00Dec 3, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.00Dec 3, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.00Dec 3, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.00Dec 3, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$106.00Dec 3, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$3.5KDec 3, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$2.0KDec 3, 07:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $421.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 07:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 02:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".