Phony-Monger
0xceacf3c06a4ab047f386f0d1f19395d104882e14
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$42.56
Total PnL
$-31.61
Realised
$1.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1666 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.83
$0.83
- YES
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
620 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.65
$-0.31
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1211 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.03
$-3.03
- YES
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
240 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.84
$-0.36
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.45
$-0.75
- YES
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
513 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.26
$-1.28
- YES
Will Chris Holder be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
14 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.01
$-0.01
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.23Jun 13, 05:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.57Jun 12, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jun 12, 03:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.44Jun 11, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.32Jun 11, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.52Jun 11, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.44Jun 11, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.14Jun 11, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.00Jun 10, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.92Jun 10, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.40Jun 10, 11:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.28Jun 9, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.29Jun 9, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.29Jun 9, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.29Jun 9, 22:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 02:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.