0xceaf50051eeb0fdbffb930aa0f3e24f9669cdff8
0xceaf50051eeb0fdbffb930aa0f3e24f9669cdff8
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$25.82
Total PnL
$-1.92
Realised
$-0.82
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
10 shares @ 56.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.53
$4.18
- YES
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
4 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.06
$0.08
- NO
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?
4 shares @ 32.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.70
$2.49
- FALCONS
Falcons vs. Cardinals
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$3.50
$1.50
- NO
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
3 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$2.79
$0.53
- NO
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$2.24
$0.15
- YES
Weed rescheduled in 2025?
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
9 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.99
- NO
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?
9 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.03
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
6 shares @ 52.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.05Jan 16, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.88Jan 16, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.05Jan 16, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$0.99Jan 16, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.05Jan 16, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$0.99Jan 16, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.05Jan 16, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$0.98Jan 16, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.05Jan 16, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$0.99Jan 16, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.05Jan 16, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$0.99Jan 16, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.05Jan 16, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$0.97Jan 16, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.91Jan 15, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.05Jan 15, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$0.95Jan 15, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.05Jan 15, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$0.95Jan 15, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.05Jan 15, 21:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 16:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 21:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.