Smug-Fragrance
0xceb07292249e72a960dd3b18b28ae2d35c6a9e4f
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$19.83
Total PnL
$-783.77
Realised
$-1.93
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on May 2?
88 shares @ 15.8¢·now 14.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$12.73
$-1.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on May 2?
145 shares @ 6.7¢·now 2.9¢·exp May 2, 2026$4.20
$-5.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on May 2?
724 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 2, 2026$2.90
$-6.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on April 17?
1000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 13?
600 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on April 19?
454 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-71.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on April 21?
366 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-15.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 13?
300 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on April 18?
228 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-11.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on April 21?
206 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-18.88
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on May 2?$1.173h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on May 1?$18.6012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on May 1?$5.1812h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on May 1?$3.8313h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on May 2?$1.6213h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on May 2?$5.1313h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on May 2?$0.4115h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on May 2?$6.1018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on May 2?$8.6718h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on May 2?$3.7718h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on May 2?$10.4918h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on May 2?$11.5219h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 2?$25.8319h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on May 2?$0.601d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 2?$30.031d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 29?$6.563d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 29?$8.443d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 29?$0.773d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 29?$1.893d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 29?$7.033d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".