Half-Med
0xceb26716e278ce9211bd7a8f64cc6ff1950828a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-552.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20?
13442 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
3721 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-97.52
- YES
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
1335 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
527 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17?
356 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on January 17?
192 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
172 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on January 17?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$97.52Jan 28, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$51.66Jan 28, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Don Lemon be criminally charged?$45.85Jan 28, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Don Lemon be criminally charged?$105.77Jan 20, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?$100.00Jan 20, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 20?$100.00Jan 20, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$10.00Jan 17, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz resign by January 31?$10.00Jan 17, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$10.00Jan 17, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 17?$10.00Jan 17, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on January 17?$10.00Jan 17, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 16?$157.89Jan 17, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 17?$100.00Jan 16, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on January 17?$100.00Jan 16, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$5.00Jan 16, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 16?$30.00Jan 16, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$50.00Jan 16, 19:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $52.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 19:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 15:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.