Kosher-Twig
0xceb5b98c80ce5f356e1263722d2af6dc672bf397
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$201.01
Total PnL
$-20.77
Realised
$2.04
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 75.9¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.14
$2.14
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
18 shares @ 62.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.41
$5.41
- NO
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
16 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.22
$0.22
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
15 shares @ 75.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.22
$0.22
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
12 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.19
$0.18
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
11 shares @ 72.3¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.46
$1.46
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
9 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$8.69
$0.69
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
9 shares @ 92.7¢·now 92.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.00
$-0.00
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
8 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.37
$0.37
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
7 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.23
$0.23
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0011h ago
- YIELD$0.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.402d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.402d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.522d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$6.002d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$6.002d ago
- TRADEBUYKadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?$6.012d ago
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$8.022d ago
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$8.102d ago
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$7.882d ago
- TRADESELLWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$8.702d ago
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$9.962d ago
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.092d ago
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.132d ago
- TRADESELLWill France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$3.202d ago
- TRADESELLWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$3.342d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Islamabad" on Truth Social this week?$2.132d ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 7d ago
- Last active
- 11h ago
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
