Knowledgeable-Sleep
0xceb722a27215d26fd8f58620b1ff9613bec74700
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$11.06
Total PnL
$-16.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
107 shares @ 6.9¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.00
$2.62
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
4123 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
4082 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
2058 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2052 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
2052 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2048 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
2038 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
2036 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.38Mar 21, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMHonduras presidential election annulled by February 28?$7.00Mar 21, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYHonduras presidential election annulled by February 28?$6.92Feb 4, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the February meeting?$1.05Feb 4, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$4.02Jan 8, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the February meeting?$1.00Jan 8, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$4.00Dec 15, 02:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $635.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 07:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".