Welcome-Mark
0xceb777bee423992bdc36251cbad2c7f90d1bd10d
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$3.30
Total PnL
$-55.78
Realised
$-3.56
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Trump out as President by April 30?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 14.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.80
$-0.27
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.76
$-0.29
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.71
$-0.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7PM ET
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
168 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on March 26?
83 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on March 26?
83 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on March 25?
82 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDota 2: GamerLegion vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A$1.05Apr 6, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$0.97Apr 6, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$1.00Apr 4, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 4?$2.26Apr 4, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$1.04Apr 3, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlues vs. Sharks$1.04Mar 31, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 30, 10PM ET$1.05Mar 31, 02:13 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 30, 10PM ET$1.04Mar 31, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 30, 10PM ET$1.04Mar 31, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.90Mar 31, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.05Mar 30, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $68,000 on March 29?$1.05Mar 30, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.05Mar 30, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 23-29?$1.01Mar 30, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - March 29, 8PM ET$0.88Mar 30, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $68,000 on March 29?$1.02Mar 30, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 29, 8PM ET$0.94Mar 30, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 29, 8PM ET$1.05Mar 30, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - March 29, 8PM ET$0.96Mar 30, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 29, 8PM ET$1.05Mar 30, 00:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 17:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 02:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.