Tidy-Conditioner
0xceb7cdee3e8b9593b73819460a0c2d982e19f1b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$49.93
Total PnL
$-5.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the Palisades wildfire be contained by Friday?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2025$13.01
$0.01
- NO
US recession in 2025?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$6.17
$1.17
- NO
Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 12?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2025$6.17
$1.17
- NO
Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.68
$0.68
- YES
Will Quinn Ewers declare for the Draft?
6 shares @ 90.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2025$5.52
$0.52
- NO
Sam Altman arrested before July?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$5.32
$0.32
- MAKHACHEV
Makhachev vs. Tsarukyan
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2025$3.16
$-1.84
- NO
Will McDonald's worker get reward money before April?
2 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$2.47
$0.62
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by March 31?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- NO
New pandemic before July?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.12
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Palisades wildfire be contained by Friday?$13.00Jan 10, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMakhachev vs. Tsarukyan$5.00Jan 10, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman arrested before July?$5.00Jan 10, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$5.00Jan 10, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 12?$5.00Jan 10, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Quinn Ewers declare for the Draft?$5.00Jan 10, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump takes Panama Canal in 2025?$5.00Jan 10, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMAssad public appearance before 2025?$0.00Jan 10, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMJay-Z arrested in 2024?$1.03Jan 10, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coinbase announce Peanut the Squirrel as next listing?$5.88Jan 10, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMAdin Ross unbanned from Twitch before 2025?$6.10Jan 10, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by March 31?$1.00Dec 25, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbstract token launch by January 31?$5.00Dec 25, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?$0.00Dec 25, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Sonic 3" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60-69?$0.00Dec 25, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ding Liren win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?$1.19Dec 25, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Mufasa: The Lion King' gross between $64-70m on 3-day opening weekend?$2.17Dec 25, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMCovington vs. Buckley$2.82Dec 25, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYJay-Z arrested in 2024?$1.00Dec 11, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYAdin Ross unbanned from Twitch before 2025?$5.00Dec 11, 16:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $321.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 10, 20:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".