Showy-Cuticle
0xceb82ed26367e57a2f3e1e90235ca847e9ea990b
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$154.84
Total PnL
$-1.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
78 shares @ 50.0¢·now 85.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$66.76
$27.81
- NO
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.66
$-0.04
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
78 shares @ 50.0¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.13
$-27.82
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
10 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$8.25
$-0.05
- NO
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
7 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$6.82
$0.02
- NO
Will Travis Bazzana win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?
7 shares @ 98.8¢·now 89.3¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$6.33
$-0.67
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
6 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?
7 shares @ 77.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$5.29
$-0.10
- NO
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will England win on 2026-06-27?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$4.91
$-0.03
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?$3.72Jun 11, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?$1.29Jun 11, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. France end in a draw?$1.38Jun 11, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-26?$2.69Jun 11, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?$1.07Jun 11, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-06-26?$3.53Jun 11, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$3.04Jun 11, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?$1.28Jun 11, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-26?$5.43Jun 11, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?$1.15Jun 11, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-27?$4.98Jun 11, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama vs. England end in a draw?$1.07Jun 11, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$4.17Jun 11, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?$1.23Jun 11, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$4.17Jun 11, 22:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 07:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.