Understated-Waterbed
0xceb86c230f9701df5ac0d855baffba04db539177
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$251.16
Total PnL
$1.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- THUNDER
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers
85 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$85.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
85 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$85.26
$0.26
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
81 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$80.65
$0.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers $85.01May 11, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$85.01May 11, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$80.03May 11, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$257.86Mar 7, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$249.87Mar 3, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang$0.00Mar 3, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMEWC Cs2: Vitality vs. Falcons$0.00Mar 3, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMEWC Cs2: Natus Vincere vs. 3DMAX$0.00Mar 3, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMEWC Cs2: Falcons vs. Aurora$0.00Mar 3, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMEWC Cs2: Spirit vs. HEROIC$0.00Mar 3, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMEWC Cs2: Falcons vs. MOUZ$0.00Mar 3, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS Open: Emilio Nava vs Taylor Fritz$532.97Aug 24, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Open: Emilio Nava vs Taylor Fritz$485.00Aug 24, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill The MongolZ win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?$476.92Aug 24, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The MongolZ win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?$310.00Aug 24, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEWC Cs2: Vitality vs. Falcons$650.00Aug 24, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win on 2025-08-23?$625.00Aug 24, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-08-23?$500.00Aug 23, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEWC Cs2: Falcons vs. Aurora$300.00Aug 23, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Sterling$609.76Aug 23, 18:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $282.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 22:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 10:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.