0xcebd109a385b406b3d30531c7b0725c940a77cdf
0xcebd109a385b406b3d30531c7b0725c940a77cdf
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$6.2K
Total PnL
$-1.1M
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021?
316035 shares @ 13.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jan 21, 2021$4.3K
$-38.7K
- NO
Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term?
55357 shares @ 7.2¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jan 21, 2021$1.9K
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
3914170 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2021$0.00
$-622.2K
- YES
Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?
840288 shares @ 42.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2020$0.00
$-354.2K
- NO
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021?
255017 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2021$0.00
$-35.1K
- REPUBLICAN
Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election?
106617 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.0K
- REPUBLICAN
Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election?
105007 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.0K
- NO
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021?
103094 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2021$0.00
$-10.0K
- REPUBLICAN
Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election?
57627 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.0K
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.