Stimulating-Commitment
0xcebd82fd7963894260b696e3ac17863b51d27219
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$19.83
Total PnL
$-58.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on May 28?
20 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 29, 2026$19.83
$-0.14
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?
28 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- UNDER
Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5
25 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- NO
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?
16 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-12.50
- WOLVES
Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)
12 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-8.43
- NO
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 on May 28?$19.97May 28, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$101.01May 28, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$100.91Apr 22, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill BNB reach $1,100 in March?$100.54Apr 22, 18:50 UTC
- REWARD$0.12Mar 21, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.25Mar 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $1,100 in March?$100.44Mar 18, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$26.25Mar 18, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.80 in February?$35.00Mar 18, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?$40.00Mar 18, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$26.22Feb 28, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?$39.96Feb 28, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.80 in February?$34.95Feb 28, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$5.77Feb 28, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMBank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after February 2026 meeting?$10.74Feb 28, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $0.00 end of January?$14.04Feb 28, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft reach $645 in January?$15.00Feb 28, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) settle over $40 on the final trading day of January 2026?$15.45Feb 28, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple reach $360 in January?$20.00Feb 28, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lighter reach $5.50 in January?$23.47Feb 28, 11:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $26.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 15:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 12:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".