Careful-Clone
0xcebe8c200be77732315920fda20a0a3b15256185
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.20
Total PnL
$-40.37
Realised
$-0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
8 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.20
$0.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
1028 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
1017 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
151 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
53 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
36 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
35 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 28, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.02Feb 28, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$2.00Feb 23, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$0.00Feb 23, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$1.00Feb 22, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$1.00Feb 22, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Feb 22, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?$2.00Feb 22, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.00Feb 22, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$0.43Feb 22, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.75Feb 22, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$2.00Feb 22, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$2.00Feb 22, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$2.00Feb 22, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$2.00Feb 22, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$7.54Feb 22, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$2.00Feb 22, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1.00Feb 22, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$1.00Feb 22, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$0.00Feb 22, 03:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 02:52 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 08:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".